Markets/Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES

50%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$178K

Bid / Ask

50% / 51%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

51% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 51%99%

Buy YES@ 51¢

Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 50¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659587