San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$165K
Liquidity
$28K
Bid / Ask
98% / 99%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $165K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1806242
This event has 6 active outcome markets. San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 98%, Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5): 92%, San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U : 53%.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
44% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
64%
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +22.0pp
42% → 64%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
64% YES (+22.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
-14.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this