Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
Closed April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$641K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
9% / 12%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $641K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1880998
This event has 6 active outcome markets. San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 98%, Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5): 92%, San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U : 53%.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Biggest move: -15.5pp
36% → 20%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
20% YES (-15.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this