San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
Closes April 21, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$201K
Liquidity
$105K
Bid / Ask
45% / 46%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
42%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $201K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1918056
This event has 5 active outcome markets. San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U: 43%, San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: 42%, Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5): 37%.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
48% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this