Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced driven by RUS neutral ELI → +1.0pp avg (n=48) (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
87% / 95%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
71%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607477
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Senators vs. Devils: O/U 4.5: 100%, Senators vs. Devils: O/U 5.5: 80%, Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5: 71%.
Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
45% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this