ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
Share on X

Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

90%YES
11%NO

Volume 24h

$521K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

74% / 94%

Spread

20.00pp

Expert Signal

90%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5" at 90% YES / 10% NO. In the last 24 hours, $521K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 90%. The bid-ask spread is 20.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 90%, NO 10%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499914

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5: 100%, Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5: 100%, Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5: 90%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+51.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

95%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +53.5pp

42% → 95%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

95% YES (+53.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 90%99%
Buy YES@ 90¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO@ 10¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this