ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5
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Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$26K

Bid / Ask

76% / 77%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

77%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Senators vs. Red Wings

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+35.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

65% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Biggest move: +28.7pp

65% → 94%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

100% YES (+6.3pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436057