Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)
Closes April 18, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$101K
Liquidity
$21K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $101K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 18, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1941711
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.: 100%, Alcaraz vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 22.5: 0%, Alcaraz vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 23.5: 0%.
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +25.5pp
75% → 100%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
100% YES (+25.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this