Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$262K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1929311
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassim: 100%, Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5: 0%, Auger-Aliassime vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5: 0%.
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
68% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +18.5pp
68% → 86%
Apr 10, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this