ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5
Share on X

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$4

Bid / Ask

6% / 98%

Spread

92.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+15.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

37% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: +16.5pp

36% → 52%

Mar 26, 2026

Current

52% YES (+16.5pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 92.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1706932