ForecastMind
⊘

Market Closed

This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?
Share on X

Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?

Market Price

1%YES
99%NO

FM Estimate

1%
Vol 24h$68K
Liquidity$21K
Bid / Ask1% / 1%
Spread0.40pp
ClosedMay 31, 2026

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-0.4pp
✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

✦ Unlock with Pro

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets2 markets

2 deadline markets. Market implies ~97% chance none resolve YES.

by May 31

Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31

3%

by May 8

Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8

1%

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $68K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2134500