ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Sharks vs. Predators
Share on X

Sharks vs. Predators

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$874K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Sharks vs. Predators

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-40.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Biggest move: -40.4pp

46% → 5%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

5% YES (-40.4pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Sharks vs. Predators" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $874K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Sharks vs. Predators." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436076