Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$902K
Liquidity
$703K
Bid / Ask
49% / 50%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $902K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718896
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5: 75%, Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Sco: 54%, Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5: 50%.
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
50% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this