Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$35K
Bid / Ask
12% / 14%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718898
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5: 75%, Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Sco: 54%, Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5: 50%.
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
14% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this