Markets/Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 11:42 PM UTC

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES

56%NO

Volume 24h

$48K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

42% / 45%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

44%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

37% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 44%99%

Buy YES@ 44¢

Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $48K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711536

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.