Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$173K
Liquidity
$288K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Bucks (-9.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $173K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Bucks (-9.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933827
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Spread: Bucks (-9.5): 100%, Spread: Bucks (-10.5): 100%.
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +31.9pp
68% → 100%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
100% YES (+31.9pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this