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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)

Share on X

Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 01:32 AM UTC

Closed March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES

65%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$1K

Bid / Ask

5% / 15%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

36%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-13.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

31% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: -10.0pp

27% → 17%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

17% YES (-10.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 36%99%

Buy YES@ 36¢

Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 65¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717847

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