ForecastMind
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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Clippers (-2.5)
Share on X

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
94%NO

Volume 24h

$27K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

1% / 6%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Clippers (-2.5)" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Spread: Clippers (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1836262

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Spread: Clippers (-2.5): 6%, Spread: Clippers (-1.5): 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~89%.

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

6%
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
6%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

46% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 94¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this