ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
Share on X

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

17%YES
83%NO

Volume 24h

$37K

Liquidity

$244

Bid / Ask

1% / 4%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

17%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Golden Knights vs. Jets

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-15.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

33% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Trough probability

17% YES — lowest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: -15.5pp

33% → 17%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

18% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 17%99%
Buy YES@ 17¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 83¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691822