Markets/Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES

47%NO

Volume 24h

$27K

Liquidity

$128K

Bid / Ask

53% / 54%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)

Full event →

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)

54%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146

52%

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)

50%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 147

49%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 149

44%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

31%

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

54% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 54%99%

Buy YES@ 54¢

Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659582