Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)
Closed April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$218K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
56% / 57%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
70%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-13.5)" at 70% YES / 30% NO. In the last 24 hours, $218K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 70%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Spread: Knicks (-13.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 70%, NO 30%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818912
This event has 4 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5): 100%, Spread: Knicks (-13.5): 70%, Spread: Knicks (-14.5): 66%.
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
56% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
49% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: +21.5pp
49% → 70%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
70% YES (+21.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this