Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
Closed April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$336K
Liquidity
$125K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-14.5)" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $336K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Spread: Knicks (-14.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813710
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Apr 1, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
67%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -61.0pp
61% → 0%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
67% YES — highest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this