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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Knicks (-18.5)

Share on X

Spread: Knicks (-18.5)

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 01:48 AM UTC

Closed March 20, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES

95%NO

Volume 24h

$480K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

1% / 4%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Knicks (-17.5)

Full event →

Spread: Knicks (-17.5)

Spread: Knicks (-18.5)

1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-28.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Biggest move: -19.0pp

38% → 19%

Mar 21, 2026

Current

19% YES (-19.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 6%99%

Buy YES@ 6¢

Edge

+9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+9.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-18.5)" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $480K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Spread: Knicks (-18.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1655538