ForecastMind
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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
Share on X

Spread: Lakers (-6.5)

Closed April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

23%YES
77%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

14% / 16%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

23%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Lakers (-6.5)" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Spread: Lakers (-6.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1855847

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Spread: Lakers (-1.5): 38%, Spread: Lakers (-2.5): 33%, Spread: Lakers (-3.5): 33%.

Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
38%
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
33%
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
33%
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
32%
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
28%

Spread: Lakers (-6.5)

23%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Biggest move: -7.0pp

34% → 27%

Apr 6, 2026

Current

27% YES (-7.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 23%99%
Buy YES@ 23¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 77¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this