Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$257K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
56% / 57%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Pistons (-1.5)" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $257K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Spread: Pistons (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1851831
This event has 6 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5): 55%, Spread: Pistons (-1.5): 54%, Spread: Pistons (-3.5): 54%.
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
57% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this