Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$150K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
40% / 45%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Current
50% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Rockets (-13.5)" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $150K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Spread: Rockets (-13.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1742725
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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