Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$148K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
83% / 95%
Spread
12.00pp
Expert Signal
91%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Rockets (-16.5)" at 91% YES / 9% NO. In the last 24 hours, $148K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Spread: Rockets (-16.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 91%, NO 9%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1841190
This event has 5 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Rockets (-9.5): 100%, 1H Spread: Rockets (-10.5): 100%, Spread: Rockets (-17.5): 94%.
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
57% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: +27.5pp
53% → 81%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
81% YES (+27.5pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-5.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this