Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
Closed March 21, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$41K
Liquidity
$165K
Expert Signal
99%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
45% YES
Mar 20, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
59%
Mar 21, 2026
Biggest move: +25.5pp
59% → 84%
Mar 21, 2026
Current
84% YES (+25.5pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Rockets (-4.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $41K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 99%. The market closes on March 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Spread: Rockets (-4.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1655540
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.