ForecastMind
Markets/Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
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Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

59%YES
41%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$98K

Bid / Ask

58% / 60%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Spurs (-11.5)" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Spread: Spurs (-11.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1810908

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: Spurs (-11.5): 59%, Spread: Spurs (-12.5): 56%, Spread: Spurs (-13.5): 52%.

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

59%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
56%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
52%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
48%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

59% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 59%99%
Buy YES@ 59¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 41¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this