Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$67K
Liquidity
$32K
Bid / Ask
21% / 23%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Suns (-1.5)" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $67K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Suns (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1934355
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: Suns (-1.5): 24%, Spread: Suns (-2.5): 21%, 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~55%.
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
31%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -21.5pp
53% → 31%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
31% YES (-21.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this