Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
37% / 41%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798124
This event has 5 active outcome markets. NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 100%, Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5: 83%, Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 73%.
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
42% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
59%
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +21.0pp
38% → 59%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
59% YES (+21.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this