Markets/Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)

Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 03:56 AM UTC

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES

51%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

48% / 50%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Current

49% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 49%99%

Buy YES@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1666800