Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
Closed March 21, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$26K
Liquidity
$47K
Expert Signal
1%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Mar 20, 2026
Trough probability
18% YES — lowest in period
Mar 21, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Mar 20, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Mar 21, 2026
Biggest move: +32.5pp
18% → 50%
Mar 21, 2026
Current
50% YES (+32.5pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on March 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1664584
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.