Markets/Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 09:03 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

55%YES

46%NO

Volume 24h

$31K

Liquidity

$84K

Bid / Ask

54% / 55%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

55% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 55%99%

Buy YES@ 55¢

Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 45¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784713

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.