ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
Share on X

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

79%YES
21%NO

Volume 24h

$130K

Liquidity

$7K

Expert Signal

79%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)" at 79% YES / 21% NO. In the last 24 hours, $130K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 79%, NO 21%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1797087

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5): 100%, 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5): 100%, Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5): 98%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+26.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +14.5pp

51% → 65%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

74% YES (+9.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 79%99%
Buy YES@ 79¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 21¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this