Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$130K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1932195
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5: 58%, Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5: 56%, Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5: 54%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +50.0pp
50% → 100%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
100% YES (+50.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this