Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$154K
Bid / Ask
46% / 48%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
47%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1932747
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5: 58%, Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5: 56%, Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5: 54%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
47% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this