Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
Closed April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$293K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
43%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $293K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823257
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5: 100%, Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5: 100%.
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: -19.5pp
48% → 28%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
28% YES (-19.5pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this