Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$224K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
45% / 46%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
18%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Warriors (-10.5)" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $224K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Warriors (-10.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933832
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Spread: Warriors (-11.5): 20%, Spread: Warriors (-10.5): 18%, 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~62%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
12%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -41.0pp
53% → 12%
Apr 11, 2026
Peak probability
61% YES — highest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Current
12% YES (-41.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this