Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$121K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
39% / 42%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Warriors (-11.5)" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $121K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Warriors (-11.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933834
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Spread: Warriors (-10.5): 24%, Spread: Warriors (-11.5): 14%, 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~62%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
46%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -38.0pp
48% → 10%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
10% YES (-38.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this