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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5

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St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 11:39 PM UTC

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

23%YES

78%NO

Volume 24h

$364K

Liquidity

$38K

Bid / Ask

24% / 27%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

23%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)

Full event →

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks

82%

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)

70%

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U

60%

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-6.5)

56%

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)

52%

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)

51%

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U

30%

St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U

23%

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-32.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

19%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: -32.5pp

52% → 19%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

19% YES (-32.5pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 23%99%

Buy YES@ 23¢

Edge

+2.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 78¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+2.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $364K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1669460

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