ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
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Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5

Closed March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
94%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$829

Bid / Ask

3% / 9%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Stars vs. Wild

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-12.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 94¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1414801