ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5
Share on X

Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

21%YES
80%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

7% / 16%

Spread

9.00pp

Expert Signal

21%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 218.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1937392

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5: 39%, Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5: 34%, Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5: 29%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+15.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

63%

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: +16.5pp

46% → 63%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

63% YES (+16.5pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 21%99%
Buy YES@ 21¢
Edge

+2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 80¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this