ForecastMind
Markets/Suns vs. Magic
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Suns vs. Magic

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

47%YES
54%NO

Volume 24h

$542K

Liquidity

$403K

Bid / Ask

46% / 47%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Suns vs. Magic" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $542K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Suns vs. Magic." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1716620

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5: 53%, Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5: 51%, Suns vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5: 50%.

Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
53%
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
51%
Suns vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5
50%
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 225.5
48%

Suns vs. Magic

47%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

47% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 47%99%
Buy YES@ 47¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 53¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this