ForecastMind
Markets/Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5
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Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

38%YES
63%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

35% / 40%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

38%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1925706

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

36% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Peak probability

42% YES — highest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Current

38% YES (-4.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 38%99%
Buy YES@ 38¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 63¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this