Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5
Closed March 21, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$158K
Liquidity
$450
Bid / Ask
50% / 92%
Spread
42.00pp
Expert Signal
71%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
53%
Mar 21, 2026
Biggest move: +18.5pp
53% → 71%
Mar 21, 2026
Current
71% YES (+18.5pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $158K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 42.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1669464
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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