Markets/Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES

70%NO

Volume 24h

$2.3M

Liquidity

$1.7M

Bid / Ask

30% / 31%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)

Full event →

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)

54%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146

52%

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)

50%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 147

49%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 149

44%

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

31%

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

31% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 31%99%

Buy YES@ 31¢

Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 70¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659161