Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$365K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
92% / 93%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
69%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $365K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 69%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711630
This event has 5 active outcome markets. NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 100%, Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5: 83%, Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 69%.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: +24.5pp
53% → 77%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
77% YES (+24.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this