Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$287K
Liquidity
$13K
Expert Signal
83%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $287K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 83%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798125
This event has 5 active outcome markets. NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 100%, Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5: 83%, Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 73%.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Trough probability
33% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
33%
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -20.5pp
54% → 33%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
44% YES (+10.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this