Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Market Price

100%YES

0%NO

Vol 24h$33K

Liquidity$614K

Bid / Ask55% / 56%

Spread1.00pp

ClosedMay 1, 2026

Game Summary

Outcome

YES

Market resolved

Volume traded

$33K

24h total

Liquidity

$614K

Market depth

Probability During Game · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

+0.0pp

✦ Deep AI Analysis🔒 PRO

The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets6 markets

6 deadline markets. Combined YES = 485% — 385pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

100%

there be a run scored in the first inning?: T

there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Ra

100%

Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers

87%

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $33K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2126795